Summary:
Heavy rain expected Thursday, impacting the AM commute.
Potential for NYC's first snow in higher elevations (Catskills, Poconos, NW NJ).
Rainfall is crucial to alleviate severe drought conditions affecting the region.
Reservoir levels are critically low, some as low as 20% capacity.
Another weather system is predicted late next week, with a chance for more rain.
NYC Weather Alert: Rain and Potential First Snow
After a prolonged dry spell and an intensifying drought, much-needed rain is finally on its way to the NYC area. This isn't just a light shower; we're talking 1-3 inches of rain across the region, with heavier accumulations near the city and into the Hudson Valley.
<img src="https://media.nbcnewyork.com/2024/11/rain-chance-timeline.png?fit=1368%2C770&quality=85&strip=all&w=775&h=436&crop=1" alt="Rain chance timeline">The rain is expected to arrive late Wednesday night into Thursday morning, impacting the AM commute. Another round of rain is predicted for late Friday night.
Potential First Snow in Parts of the Tri-State Area
While most will see rain, higher elevations north and west of the city, including parts of the Catskills, Poconos, and northwestern New Jersey, could see the first snowfall of the season. We're talking light accumulations, anywhere from flurries to an inch, not a major snow event.
<img src="https://media.nbcnewyork.com/2024/11/accumulation.png?fit=1368%2C770&quality=85&strip=all&w=775&h=436&crop=1" alt="Snow accumulation forecast">Drought Conditions and Reservoir Levels
This rainfall is critically important because Central Park is 9 inches below normal rainfall for the season, reflecting a region-wide drought. Reservoir levels are significantly diminished, currently at 60% capacity (typically around 79%), with some locations as low as 20%.
<img src="https://media.nbcnewyork.com/2024/11/reservoir-levels.png?fit=1368%2C770&quality=85&strip=all&w=775&h=436&crop=1" alt="Reservoir levels"><img src="https://media.nbcnewyork.com/2024/11/drought.png?fit=1368%2C770&quality=85&strip=all&w=775&h=436&crop=1" alt="Drought conditions map">While this week's rain won't completely resolve the drought, it's a significant step toward easing the situation. Another weather system is expected late next week, bringing potential for more rain.
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